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Knoxville and East Tennessee Real Estate Market Update Through FEBRUARY 2024

March 26, 2024 By Troy Stavros



The real estate landscape in Knoxville and the broader East Tennessee region has been a roller coaster of highs and lows, with significant shifts in home sales, prices, and rental growth rates. As we delve into the intricacies of these changes, potential buyers, sellers, and local homeowners will find valuable insights to navigate the market in 2024.

A Look Back at 2023: Declines and Growth in Knoxville

The past year witnessed a notable 15.2% decline in total home sales across East Tennessee, marking one of the most significant annual downturns on record. Despite this reduction in sales activity, home prices bucked the trend, growing by 5.3% from the previous year. This dichotomy underscores a resilient market that, despite challenges, continues to grow in value.

The Knoxville metro area, in particular, saw its home prices surge by 11.7% in the fourth quarter of 2023, securing the No. 8 spot in the U.S. for price growth, according to the FHFA House Price Index. This growth is reflective of Knoxville’s enduring appeal and the substantial role newcomers play in the local housing market, further evidenced by the city’s ranking as No. 17 on U-Haul’s list of top growth cities in 2023.

Knoxville Rental Market Adjustments

January brought a slowdown in apartment rent growth, with the Knoxville metro area experiencing a 3.7% increase from the previous year, compared to a mere 0.25% national uptick. This moderation in rent increases might offer some relief to renters, although the market remains competitive.

Forecasting 2024: A Rebound in Sales and Stable Price Growth in Knoxville

Looking ahead, the East Tennessee region is poised for a rebound, with home sales expected to rise by 11.1% in 2024, while home prices are forecasted to grow at a more modest rate of 3.6%. This anticipated upturn in sales, alongside stable price growth, presents a promising landscape for both buyers and sellers.

Knoxville Market Dynamics: Inventory and Affordability

The current subdued nature of the housing market is largely attributed to a lack of resale inventory and ongoing affordability issues. However, there’s a silver lining as inventory levels are expected to improve with the arrival of the spring selling season, alongside fairly stable affordability conditions. These factors are set to inject more certainty into the market, benefiting both buyers and sellers.

Innovative Solutions: Knoxville’s “Missing Middle Housing” Plan

In a bold move to tackle the housing shortage, Knoxville has embraced the “Missing Middle Housing” plan, allowing for denser housing on smaller lots while preserving neighborhood aesthetics. This initiative is crucial for creating more affordable housing options without sacrificing the charm and uniqueness of Knoxville’s neighborhoods.

Knoxville Home Seller Profits: A Record High

Knoxville homeowners have seen their equity soar, with the city ranking among the top U.S. metro areas for return-on-investment in home sales. The typical Knoxville home seller in 2023 enjoyed a staggering profit margin of 98.1%, showcasing the financial benefits of homeownership in the region.

Mortgage Rates and Economic Outlook

The economic landscape, particularly in terms of mortgage rates and inflation, plays a significant role in the real estate market. With mortgage rates experiencing fluctuations and the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rates, potential buyers and sellers must stay informed to make strategic decisions.

Conclusion

The Knoxville and East Tennessee real estate market is complex, with various factors influencing its trajectory. However, the region’s resilience, innovative housing solutions, and promising forecasts for 2024 offer a beacon of hope for those looking to navigate this market. Whether you’re buying, selling, or simply keeping an eye on home values, staying informed will be key to making the most of the opportunities that lie ahead.

Ready to Navigate the Knoxville and East Tennessee Real Estate Market?

Whether you’re contemplating buying a new home, selling your current property, or just have questions about the ever-changing real estate landscape in Knoxville and East Tennessee, Troy Stavros with CornerStone Realty Associates is here to guide you every step of the way.

With an in-depth understanding of the local market trends and a commitment to providing exceptional service, Troy and the team at CornerStone Realty Associates are your go-to experts for all things real estate in the region.

Don’t let the complexities of the market hold you back. Contact Troy Stavros today at 865-999-0925 for personalized assistance, whether you’re looking to buy your dream home, sell for the best possible price, or simply need expert advice on your real estate journey in Knoxville or anywhere in East Tennessee.

Take the first step towards realizing your real estate goals. Call now and let Troy Stavros help you make informed decisions in this vibrant market.

Filed Under: Blog, Home Buying, Home Market News, Home Selling Tagged With: Affordable homes in Knoxville, Best real estate agents Knoxville, Buy home in Knoxville, Buying Knoxville real estate, CornerStone Realty Associates Knoxville, East Tennessee home sales trends, East Tennessee housing forecast, East Tennessee real estate services, Knoxville home prices growth, Knoxville housing inventory, Knoxville Housing Market Update, Knoxville mortgage rates 2024, Knoxville property listings, Knoxville real estate market 2024, Knoxville realtors, Knoxville TN, Real Estate Investment Knoxville, Real estate market analysis Knoxville, Real estate market tips Knoxville, Sell Property East Tennessee, Selling Homes in East Tennessee, Troy Stavros

OCTOBER 2023 East Tennessee & Knoxville Real Estate Update: Key Market Trends for Buyers & Sellers

November 15, 2023 By Troy Stavros

The Knoxville real estate market continues to shine in the national spotlight, securing a formidable second place in the FHFA’s ranking of the top 100 metros for median appraised value growth of single-family homes in Q2 2023. This impressive 9.1% increase from the previous year not only reflects the area’s robust market dynamics but also significantly surpasses the national median, which saw a slight decline.

In a notable achievement, the Knoxville metro area climbed to the 18th spot in the prestigious Wall Street Journal/Realtor.com Emerging Housing Markets Index for Fall 2023. This index, revered for identifying top-performing markets, underscores Knoxville’s appeal with its low living costs and flourishing economy.

The rental landscape in Knoxville is also evolving. After a remarkable near-20% growth in apartment rents in Q3 2022, the pace has moderated, with a 4.5% year-over-year increase in Q3 2023. This trend is in sharp contrast to the national average, which saw a mere 0.04% increase, highlighting Knoxville’s unique rental market trajectory.

Knox County emerges as a tax haven, boasting one of the lowest effective property tax rates in the U.S. at 0.32% in 2022, as per Attom Data’s analysis. This factor, among others, continues to attract homeowners and investors alike.

Despite the market’s overall vitality, approximately a quarter of homes still sold above asking price, a slight decrease from the previous month. Remarkably, over 10% of these sales were at least $10,000 over the listed price, indicating strong buyer interest and competition.

While 2023 has seen a general slowdown in East Tennessee’s housing market, it hasn’t dampened the region’s growth, especially when compared to cities like Nashville and Memphis, which experienced declines in home values.

However, the Knoxville MSA witnessed a significant 27% drop in purchase appraisals from the previous year in Q2 2023, reflecting the wider impact of increasing mortgage rates and limited inventory on buyer activity.

Looking forward, East Tennessee faces a challenging environment with soaring mortgage rates, now at their highest since the early 2000s. The average monthly payment for a median-priced new listing has surged to $2,400, a 22% increase from last year. Despite this, the tight supply continues to propel home prices upward, even as sales volumes decline.

With mortgage rates hovering around 7.5% and buyer expectations set around 5.5%, the market is at a critical juncture. This disconnect, rooted in decades of historically lower rates, shapes current perceptions of home buying feasibility.

Interestingly, the current mortgage rates, while higher than recent averages, are still below the long-term historical average of 7.7% since 1970. This context is vital for understanding the evolving dynamics of homebuyer attitudes and the enduring appeal of homeownership.

As for today’s mortgage landscape, rates have slightly decreased to 7.40% from over 8% last month. This fluctuation continues to influence buyer decisions and market trends.

In a reassuring sign for the Knoxville area, Auction.com’s analysis predicts a low risk of home price correction. This prediction, based on foreclosure auction data, indicates a significant reduction in foreclosure sales volume compared to 2019 levels.

The Knoxville real estate market, reshaped by the pandemic, has witnessed shifts not just in home prices, but also in inventory, population, and median income, further cementing its position as a dynamic and evolving market.

For more updates and insights into the East Tennessee and Knoxville real estate markets, stay tuned and subscribe to the YouTube channel here: https://www.youtube.com/@KnoxvilleTN.

Have questions or need guidance buying or selling real estate in the Knoxville TN or anywhere in East Tennessee? Contact Troy Stavros at 865-999-0925 today and let’s start a conversation.

Filed Under: Blog, Home Market News Tagged With: Buy Homes in Knoxville, East Tennessee Home Selling Tips, East Tennessee Housing Market Trends, East Tennessee Property Values, East Tennessee Real Estate Insights, Housing Market, Knoxville, Knoxville Home Prices Update, Knoxville Homebuyers Guide, Knoxville Housing Market Analysis, Knoxville Housing Market Growth, Knoxville Property Tax Rates, Knoxville Real Estate Forecast, Knoxville TN, Knoxville TN Real Estate 2023, real estate agent, Real Estate Investment Knoxville, REALTOR, Sell Property East Tennessee, Selling Homes in East Tennessee, Tennessee, Troy Stavros

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Copyright 2024 - Troy Stavros - CornerStone Realty Associates, LLC - 865-966-9700 - 12748 Kingston Pike Suite 206, Knoxville, TN 37934 *Some or all of the listings displayed on this site may not belong to CornerStone Realty Associates, LLC. IDX information is provided exclusively for consumers’ personal, non-commercial use, and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties consumers may be interested in purchasing. All data is deemed reliable, but is not guaranteed.