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October 2024 Knoxville & East Tennessee Housing Market Update: Key Insights & Trends

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Welcome to your comprehensive October 2024 update on the Knoxville and East Tennessee housing markets! Whether you’re buying, selling, or just curious about the local real estate scene, we’ve got the latest insights and data you need.

Market Overview: East Tennessee

In October 2024, home sales in East Tennessee experienced a slight decline, down by 2.7% compared to last year. However, the inventory of homes surged by 37.9%, with new listings up by 7.1%. This increase in inventory provides more options for buyers, even as the market adjusts to rising interest rates and pre-election jitters.

Key Metrics:

  • Median Sales Price: $374,900 (up 7.11%)
  • Average Price per Square Foot: $225
  • Absorption Rate: 3.94 months (indicating more inventory and potentially less demand)

Despite fluctuations, East Tennessee’s housing prices remain stable to slightly rising, especially in high-demand areas.

Knoxville Real Estate Insights

Knoxville’s housing market shows resilience with home sales nearly steady, down just 0.2% from last year. The inventory increased by 31.4%, with new listings up by 1.5%. The city continues to see strong buyer interest, as reflected in the decrease in the absorption rate to 2.15 months.

Key Metrics:

  • Median Sales Price: $410,000 (up 9.63%)
  • Average Price per Square Foot: $230

Knoxville’s limited inventory suggests a continuing trend of rising home prices, driven by strong demand and insufficient supply.

County Breakdown

Roane County

  • Inventory Up: 22.6%
  • Median Sales Price: $340,000 (up 27.10%)

Knox County

  • Inventory Up: 34.3%
  • Median Sales Price: $400,000 (up 9.51%)

Anderson County

  • Inventory Up: 19.7%
  • Median Sales Price: $333,500 (up 17.02%)

Loudon County

  • Inventory Up: 47.6%
  • Median Sales Price: $629,000 (up 25.81%)

Sevier County

  • Inventory Up: 28.57%
  • Median Sales Price: $502,500 (down 1.48%)

Blount County

  • Inventory Up: 35.6%
  • Median Sales Price: $410,000 (up 12.3%)

Market Trends and Predictions

As we head into the end of the year, several factors will influence the Knoxville and East Tennessee housing markets:

  1. Interest Rates: Rising rates continue to impact affordability and buyer behavior.
  2. Inventory Levels: While inventory is up, it remains below pre-pandemic levels, keeping pressure on prices.
  3. Migration Patterns: Tennessee’s appeal due to its cost of living and quality of life continues to attract new residents, bolstering demand.

Conclusion

The Knoxville and East Tennessee real estate markets are navigating a complex landscape of increased inventory, rising prices, and changing buyer dynamics. For potential buyers and sellers, understanding these trends is crucial for making informed decisions.

If you’re considering buying or selling a home in Knoxville or East Tennessee, contact us at Cornerstone Realty Associates for expert guidance tailored to your needs.

Stay tuned for more updates as we continue to monitor the local real estate market. For personalized advice, reach out to Troy Stavros and the team at Cornerstone Realty Associates.

East Tennessee Real Estate: A Dynamic Housing Market in 2023 and Beyond – NOVEMBER 2023 UPDATE

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Knoxville Real Estate Trends: A Thriving Market in East Tennessee

East Tennessee’s real estate market, particularly in Knoxville, has demonstrated remarkable resilience and growth in recent times. In Q3 2023, Knoxville’s home price growth ranked an impressive No. 4 among the top 100 metro areas. This surge reflects a significant 11.6% increase from the previous year, as reported by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA). Such robust growth showcases Knoxville’s burgeoning appeal in the East Tennessee real estate landscape.

Anticipating 2024: Knoxville’s Housing Market Projections

A recent survey from Fannie Mae shows that 23% of consumers think prices will fall over the next 12 months. That’s nearly one in four people who are dealing with that fear – maybe you’re one of them. To help ease that concern, here’s what the experts say will happen with home prices not just next year, but over the next five years. Looking forward, 2024 holds a blend of challenges and opportunities for Knoxville real estate. While Realtor.com’s 2024 forecast predicts a 5.9% dip in home sales, it concurrently anticipates a promising 7.2% rise in home prices. These projections, coupled with the East Tennessee REALTORS®’ forthcoming annual forecast, paint a picture of a market adjusting to evolving economic conditions.

Apartment Rent Growth and Student Housing Market

The rental market in Knoxville is also witnessing notable trends. October saw a continuation of accelerated apartment rent growth, with a 4.14% year-over-year increase across the Knoxville Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), significantly outpacing the national average. Additionally, the University of Tennessee’s student housing market ranked No. 11 nationally for rent growth in Fall 2023, marking a substantial 15.9% increase from the previous school year.

Knoxville’s Housing Market: Speed and Pricing

In the fast-paced Knoxville market, homes are selling swiftly. In October half of the homes sold were under contract in 12 days or less, indicating a slight fluctuation from previous periods. Remarkably, 26% of homes sold for more than the asking price, underscoring Knoxville’s competitive real estate environment.

Housing Market Dynamics and Inventory Trends

Despite challenges like limited inventory and affordability, the East Tennessee housing market is adapting. November witnessed a seasonal rise in housing inventory, with an 8.7% year-over-year increase in active listings across the region. This trend indicates a gradually improving market landscape as we move into 2024.

Knoxville’s Labor Market and Economic Factors

The economic backdrop of Knoxville’s real estate market remains strong, despite broader uncertainties. Knoxville’s labor market, as per the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), continues to outperform, ranking among the top U.S. metros for job growth. RealPage Analytics reports a 3.7% increase in Knoxville’s employment base in the year ending October 2023, well above the metro’s long-term average.

Mortgage Rates and Economic Outlook

The mortgage landscape has seen dramatic shifts, we saw rates over 8% earlier in the year and as of today, according to Mortgage News Daily, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is at 7.02% (UPDATE! One day later we are down to 6.62%!). This rate, while higher than last year’s average, reflects recent market adjustments. The Federal Reserve’s decision not to pursue another rate hike further shapes a cautiously optimistic economic outlook for the National, Knoxville and East Tennessee real estate markets. Many experts believe the FED will cut rates in 2024 leading to mortgage interest rates dropping as well. If that does happen, and you are a homebuyer, there is a Catch 22. Should interest rates fall, inventory will fall along with it, and competition will rise. That may seem counterintuitive but here is what the data shows. (show graphic). When looking at the data since 2016, you can clearly see that when we are in an environment of rates falling, inventory falls and vice verse. Therefore lower rates will stimulate increased demand from buyers leading to more competition, and lower supply… and what does the law of supply and demand tell us about what low supply and high demand will do to home prices? That’s right, it will make them rise. So if that’s the case, is it better to wait until that happens to buy a home, or buy now when competition is lower and there is more inventory available to choose from? We remember what it was like a few years ago when competition was fierce. I don’t think anyone wants that again, but rates dropping could bring it back.

Comment below or contact me, Troy Stavros, directly with questions or if I can help in any way. Call or text 865-999-0925.

JUNE 2023 Knoxville Real Estate Market Update: Rising Rents, Home Prices, and Mortgage Rates

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Welcome to the Knoxville Real Estate Report! In this video, we’ll dive into the latest trends and insights shaping the housing market in our beautiful city.

First, let’s talk about apartment rents. Over the past year, Knoxville has seen a remarkable increase of 9.2% in apartment rents, outpacing the national average growth of 2.3%. This means that finding a place to rent in Knoxville has become more competitive, and prices are on the rise.

In June, the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates steady after a string of ten consecutive rate increases. However, officials hinted that future rate hikes may be necessary next month if inflation doesn’t continue to decrease. This decision has implications for the housing market, as higher interest rates can impact the affordability of homes and influence buyer behavior.

Speaking of the housing market, East Tennessee has experienced a notable increase in housing inventory throughout June. However, the number of homes listed for sale remains approximately 60% lower than pre-pandemic levels. This shortage of available homes contributes to the high prices and rents we are currently seeing in the region.

The recently released “The State of the Nation’s Housing 2023” report from the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies confirms that home prices and rents remain high in East Tennessee. With higher interest rates locking homeowners in place and slowing construction, the market faces challenges in meeting the demand for affordable housing.

Home sales in Knoxville saw a boost in May, partly due to a temporary decline in mortgage rates the previous month. Buyers in today’s market are highly sensitive to mortgage rates, and their fluctuations can impact home sales in the coming months. Additionally, the lack of inventory and new listings has intensified competition, especially for homes priced under $400,000.

In summary, while market activity has somewhat normalized, the housing market in Knoxville is still far from ordinary. Higher mortgage rates and historically low inventory levels create a dynamic that is unfamiliar territory for many. Although the situation may seem unsustainable, data suggests that these market conditions are likely here to stay.

Looking at housing inventory, we observed a modest increase over the past month, which is typical for this time of year. Active listings in June were up around 20% compared to the previous year. However, inventory levels remain well below pre-pandemic averages across all counties in the East Tennessee region. Although most counties experienced month-over-month increases in inventory, the growth was relatively subdued compared to historical trends.

Now, let’s talk about mortgage rates. Currently, rates are just over one percentage point higher than they were a year ago, resulting in a 20% increase in the required monthly payment for the median-priced listing. These higher rates have led many homeowners to hold off on selling their homes and moving, contributing to the low inventory we’re seeing in the market. As a result, prospective buyers are increasingly turning to the new-home market.

Looking ahead, the outlook for mortgage rates remains uncertain. Despite the Federal Reserve’s decision to pause rate hikes in June, there is a possibility that rates will resume their upward trend in the near future. With inflation still above the Fed’s target, it’s likely that rate increases will be on the horizon. As a result, mortgage rates are expected to hover around 6.5% throughout the summer months.

In Knoxville, only a small percentage of homes listed for sale have a lower estimated monthly payment compared to a year ago. This indicates that while home price growth has slowed, it remains positive, and lower monthly payments are limited to a few listings at the top end of the market. That wraps up our Knoxville Real Estate Report. Stay tuned for more updates on the local housing market. If you found this information valuable, be sure to like this video and subscribe to our channel for future updates. Thanks for watching!

Have questions? Need a market analysis on a particular part of town or home? Need help buying or selling a home in East Tennessee? Contact Troy Stavros with CornerStone Realty Associates at 865-999-0925 today!

APRIL 2023 East Tennessee and Knoxville Housing Market UPDATE

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The Current Housing Market in East Tennessee: Rising Prices, Low Inventory, and High Demand

The Knoxville real estate market and the broader East Tennessee region are experiencing a significant surge in housing prices due to a combination of factors, including an incredibly low inventory of homes for sale and a high demand driven by an influx of people migrating from other parts of the country. As a result, both homebuyers and renters are feeling the impact of these market conditions.

One of the primary reasons for the rising prices in East Tennessee is the shortage of available homes. The inventory of houses for sale has reached historically low levels, creating a highly competitive market. With fewer homes on the market, potential buyers are faced with limited options, leading to increased competition and bidding wars for desirable properties. As a result, prices are being driven up as buyers vie for a limited supply of homes.

The region’s popularity as a destination for relocation is a key driver of the high demand in East Tennessee. Many people are choosing to move to this area due to its natural beauty, affordable cost of living, and growing job opportunities. This influx of new residents has intensified competition for housing, further fueling price increases.

Rents in Knoxville, specifically, have been significantly impacted by these market dynamics. According to recent data, apartment rents in Knoxville were up 12.75% in the first quarter of 2023, far surpassing the national average of 4.46% growth. The scarcity of available rental units has given landlords greater leverage, allowing them to raise rental prices to meet the soaring demand.

While the rising prices may pose challenges for renters, homeowners in the region are benefiting from the current market conditions. A recent report from the National Association of Realtors revealed that middle-income homeowners in Knoxville accumulated an average of $109,890 in housing wealth over the past decade as their homes appreciated in value. The sharp increase in home prices has provided homeowners with significant financial gains and enhanced their overall net worth.

The speed at which homes are selling in East Tennessee is remarkable. Statistics show that half of the homes sold were under contract in 16 days or less. Furthermore, 23.8% of homes sold for more than the asking price, with 12% selling for at least $10,000 over asking and 4% selling for at least $25,000 over asking. This data indicates a highly competitive market, with buyers willing to pay a premium to secure a property.

New construction has played a role in meeting the demand for housing, representing 15% of total home sales in the area. However, it is still not sufficient to offset the low inventory levels and escalating prices in the overall market.

Buyer competition remains fierce, although there has been a slight decline in the number of offers received on average. According to the Knoxville Area Association of Realtors’ Market Pulse Survey, the typical listing in the Knoxville area received 2.2 offers in the first quarter of 2023, down from 6.2 offers in 2022. Nevertheless, multiple offer scenarios are still extremely common, with half of all homes receiving at least two offers.

Affordability is becoming a growing concern in East Tennessee, particularly as mortgage rates have increased in recent weeks. Economic uncertainty has placed upward pressure on rates, with the current average rate for a 30-year loan standing at 6.69%. The higher interest rates are discouraging some homeowners from listing their homes for sale, as they are locked into lower rates below 4% or even below 3%. This further constrains the available housing supply and exacerbates the affordability problem in the market.

In conclusion, the housing market in East Tennessee, including Knoxville, is experiencing a surge in prices driven by a combination of low inventory and high demand.

MARCH 2023 East Tennessee & Knoxville Housing Market Update

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Knoxville Real Estate Market Shows Signs of Growing Beyond Its Affordable Reputation

The Knoxville real estate market has always been known for its affordability, but new data shows that the city’s median listing price is now higher than the national average. This suggests that the competitive advantage of Knoxville’s affordability may be slipping away, making it more challenging for homebuyers to find homes within their budget. In the fourth quarter of 2022, the median listing price in the Knoxville area was $426,633, compared to $412,743 nationally. By February 2023, the local median listing price had increased by more than $42,000 compared to the U.S. average, making Knoxville the 47th-highest among the top 150 U.S. housing markets. One of the significant issues contributing to the shortage of inventory is that fewer people are moving. Life event movers, who typically move up or down in the housing market, are staying in their homes longer, creating a “mortgage lock-in” group. With over 60% of outstanding residential mortgages in Tennessee having an interest rate of 4% or below, potential sellers are hesitant to list their homes for sale, given the prospect of trading out their current mortgage for a new one with a much higher interest rate. This has led to fewer homeowners putting their homes on the market, particularly those priced under $500,000, where new listings are down 19% year-over-year.

Additionally, some homeowners who have to move are opting to keep their existing house with their sub-3% mortgage, rent it out, and buy a new home without selling their current one, which further exacerbates the inventory problem.

Investors represent another group that has not contributed much to the inventory. While institutional investors with Wall Street money have slowed their purchasing, none of them are selling, creating no discernible inventory coming from investors at this time.

Distressed homeowners represent the third potential source of inventory, but as of now, essentially none of these people are selling homes either. With the US still having record employment and the big layoffs in the tech sector generally finding work quickly, there are no indications of this group selling homes at this time.

According to experts, homeowners in Knoxville can see that they have a really good deal where they currently live. Therefore, unless something dramatically changes, the current environment is expected to remain.

The Knoxville real estate market’s challenges are not just about inventory, however. Tennessee’s population surpassed seven million residents in 2022, marking the largest year-over-year population increase since 2007, according to the Tennessee State Data Center. This growth is driving up rent prices, with Knoxville experiencing the second-fastest rent growth of any US metro area in 2022, according to a report from the National Association of Realtors®.

As Knoxville continues to grow, it will be essential to address the inventory shortage and affordability issues to ensure that the city remains an attractive place to live for both current residents and newcomers.

Have questions? Comments? Want to talk about the market? Want to talk about buying or selling a home in East Tennessee? Contact Troy Stavros at CornerStone Realty Associates today at 865-999-0925. My team and I look forward to serving you!

Why A Smaller Home in East Tennessee May Be The Best Fit

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When it comes to buying a home in East Tennessee, bigger isn’t always better. In fact, there are many advantages to purchasing a smaller home that can make it a wise financial decision.One of the most significant benefits of buying a smaller home is the cost savings. Smaller homes in Knoxville generally have lower utility costs, lower property taxes, and a smaller mortgage payment. This means you can save money on your monthly housing expenses and have more money to allocate towards other areas of your life, such as saving for retirement or investing in your education.

Smaller homes in East Tennessee are also easier to maintain. With less square footage, you’ll spend less time cleaning and maintaining your home, leaving you with more time to focus on the things you enjoy. This can also save you money on maintenance and repair costs, as there are fewer areas of the home to upkeep.

Another advantage of purchasing a smaller home in Knoxville is the potential for a more sustainable lifestyle. With less space, you’ll be more mindful of your consumption and will likely accumulate less clutter over time. This can lead to a more simplified and intentional way of living, which can be both rewarding and fulfilling.

Finally, a smaller home can offer a sense of coziness and comfort that larger homes may lack. With fewer rooms and less space to spread out, you’ll likely spend more time in the shared spaces of your home, which can foster a sense of community and togetherness among family members.

Overall, buying a smaller home in East Tennessee can be a smart financial decision with a host of additional benefits. If you’re in the market for a new home, consider the advantages of a smaller living space and weigh your options accordingly.

Have questions? Want to get the process started in looking for a smaller home? Need to sell your current home before buying? Contact the Troy Stavros TEAM at CornerStone Realty Associates today at 865-999-0925.