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Are Knoxville Home Prices Cooling? October 2025 Knoxville & East Tennessee Housing Market Update

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Are you wondering what’s really happening in the Knoxville and East Tennessee real estate market? The latest data for October 2025 reveals a turning point for both buyers and sellers, with significant changes in inventory, pricing, and market dynamics. Whether you’re thinking of buying, selling, or just keeping an eye on the local market, this comprehensive update breaks down the key trends you need to know.

Knoxville Housing Market: A Shift Toward Balance

The Knoxville single-family home market is experiencing a notable transition. Inventory levels have surged by an impressive 42.3% year-over-year, giving buyers far more choices than in October 2024. New listings are up 11.5%, and pending sales have climbed by 12.3%, indicating that demand remains active despite the influx of supply.

However, closed home sales dropped 5.9% compared to last year. This shift means that, while buyers are interested, the increased inventory isn’t being fully absorbed, signaling a clear move away from the intense seller’s market conditions of recent years.

Pricing Trends in Knoxville

  • Median sales price fell 5.9% year-over-year to $382,500, a significant decline.
  • Average sale price remained virtually flat at $497,005, up just 0.4%.
  • Median active list price dropped 2.3%, while the average list price increased 2.2%. This suggests that while some sellers are adjusting prices downward, higher-priced homes are staying on the market longer.
  • Average days on market jumped 48.5% to 49 days, and median days on market rose 43% to 20 days. Homes are taking longer to sell as buyers become more deliberate and selective.

Month-Over-Month Snapshot

Compared to September, the absorption rate in Knoxville ticked up slightly to 3.11 months (from 3.05). Both average and median days on market increased, reinforcing the trend of a cooling market. Despite these headwinds, pending sales rose from last month, showing there’s still underlying demand even as buyers take more time and exercise greater negotiating power.

Key Takeaway for Knoxville

The Knoxville real estate market is now much more balanced. Buyers have regained leverage, sellers face more competition, and price appreciation has clearly stalled. Sellers should prepare for longer marketing times and the need to price competitively to attract offers. Buyers, on the other hand, can expect a greater selection of homes and improved negotiating conditions compared to the overheated market of a year ago.

East Tennessee Housing Market: Signs of Normalization

Looking beyond Knoxville, the East Tennessee single-family housing market is also showing clear signs of normalization in October 2025.

  • Inventory levels rose sharply, up more than 22% from last year, giving buyers more options and easing some of the competitive pressure.
  • Home sales were up just over 3% year-over-year, while pending sales surged 20.8%, signaling strong momentum heading into the winter months.
  • New listings climbed 12%, and while sellers continue to price homes optimistically (list prices up 2–3%), actual sales prices showed stability.
    • Median sales price dipped just 0.54% to $368,000
    • Average sale prices remained flat
  • Absorption rate now sits at 4.78 months, up from 4.06 a year ago, reflecting a market moving toward balance.
  • Average days on market rose to 64, a 36% increase from last year, though marketing times improved slightly compared to September.

County-Level Highlights

  • Roane County: Inventory up 41.7%, pending sales up 32.2%, median price up 3.7% to $350,000.
  • Knox County: Inventory up 37.1%, pending sales up 12.7%, median price down 4.74% to $381,000.
  • Anderson County: Inventory up 34.6%, pending sales up 21%, median price down 1.34% to $332,000.
  • Loudon County: Inventory up 17.1%, pending sales up 11%, median price down 12.52% to $544,500.
  • Sevier County: Inventory up 10.94%, pending sales down 11.41%, median price up 25% to $575,000.
  • Blount County: Inventory up 10.5%, pending sales up 13%, median price down 2.46% to $390,075.

Four out of six counties saw median prices lower than a year ago, showing that while some areas still see appreciation, price growth is largely stalled or even negative across much of the region.

Market Charts: Knoxville Metro at a Glance

  • Active listings are at their highest in six years, surpassing even pre-pandemic levels.
  • Weeks of supply have jumped to 17, up from 11 in 2019, showing a significant increase in inventory relative to demand.
  • 2025 saw the lowest number of homes sold for this point in the year in the past seven years, reflecting slowing demand.
  • New listings are the second highest in seven years, further adding to supply.
  • Days on market are at their highest in six years, and pending sales are at their second lowest.
  • Sale-to-list price ratio is at 98.1%, tied with 2019 and 2024, indicating more negotiation and less bidding above asking price.
  • Price drops are at their highest in the past six years, reflecting increased pressure on sellers to adjust pricing.

Why Is This Happening?

The market is still digesting the effects of the pandemic boom. Many buyers who would have purchased homes in 2025 instead bought earlier, thanks to historically low interest rates and a flexible work-from-home environment. This “pull forward” in demand has resulted in slower sales today, combined with a return to more normal inventory levels.

What’s Next for Knoxville Real Estate?

Despite the current moderation, Knoxville remains a market to watch. According to Zillow, the city ranks number four among the top 15 U.S. metros expected to see the largest home price increases between September 2025 and September 2026, with a forecasted 5% gain. Move Buddha’s Moving Forecast also names Knoxville as the most popular city to move to in 2026, with a high in-to-out migration ratio.

Final Thoughts

The October 2025 Knoxville and East Tennessee housing market update clearly shows a shift toward balance. Inventory is up, prices are moderating, and homes are taking longer to sell. Buyers now have more leverage and negotiating power, while sellers must adjust expectations and price competitively to succeed in this new environment.

If you’re thinking about buying or selling a home in Knoxville or East Tennessee, now is the time to work with a knowledgeable real estate professional who can help you navigate these changing market conditions.

For more updates or to get advice tailored to your situation, don’t hesitate to reach out!

Ready to make your next move in Knoxville or East Tennessee? Contact us today for personalized guidance and market insights.

East Tennessee & Knoxville Housing Market Update SEPTEMBER 2025: Prices, Trends, and Buyer-Seller Insights

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Are you a homeowner, buyer, or seller looking to understand the latest trends in the East Tennessee and Knoxville housing market? As we approach the end of 2025, market conditions have shifted, interest rates are making waves, and submarkets like Farragut, Lenoir City, and Tellico Village are showing unique patterns. Here’s everything you need to know to navigate the Knoxville real estate market this fall.

Knoxville Housing Market 2025: Cooling but Not Crashing

After years of rapid price growth and frenzied bidding, the Knoxville housing market in 2025 is undergoing a noticeable transformation. Inventory has surged by over a third compared to last year, and homes are staying on the market longer—almost double the days compared to 2024. Sales volume is down nearly 8% year-over-year, and the median home price is now essentially flat, even dipping slightly in some neighborhoods.

Key Takeaway for Home Sellers:
Knoxville sellers must be strategic with pricing and flexible on concessions, as buyers have more options and are no longer rushing to make offers.

East Tennessee Real Estate: A More Resilient Picture

While Knoxville proper is feeling the pinch, East Tennessee’s real estate market as a whole remains resilient. Median prices are up 2-3% year-over-year, and pending sales have benefited from a temporary dip in mortgage rates this fall. Outlying areas such as Lenoir City, Loudon County, and Roane County are seeing steady or even rising demand, absorbing much of the new inventory and maintaining price growth.

Key Takeaway for Buyers:
If you’re priced out of Knoxville, expanding your search to the broader East Tennessee market—especially growing towns and counties—can offer better value and more affordable monthly payments.

Why Outlying Areas Are Booming: Affordability Shifts Demand

One of the biggest trends of 2025 is that outlying communities are capturing buyers who might otherwise have purchased in Knoxville. As the city’s median price outpaces regional averages, many buyers are looking to suburbs and nearby towns for better deals.

  • Farragut: With its top-rated schools and amenities, Farragut remains in demand. However, rising prices and inventory mean homes are staying on the market longer despite a 30% jump in pending sales after the recent rate drop.
  • Lenoir City: This value-driven hotspot is attracting buyers with newer homes and reasonable commutes to Knoxville. Inventory is up, but homes are selling quickly, making for a competitive market.
  • Tellico Village: Known for its active-adult community and lakefront living, Tellico Village is experiencing a surge in inventory and a dip in median sale price, giving buyers more choices and negotiating power—especially for homes needing updates.

Key Takeaway for Investors:
Strong demand in Lenoir City and Farragut, as well as lifestyle-driven buyers in Tellico Village, make these submarkets worth watching for potential appreciation and rental opportunities.

The Role of Mortgage Interest Rates

Mortgage rates have been the wild card in the Knoxville and East Tennessee housing market. Earlier this fall, rates dipped briefly to just over 6%, sparking a surge in pending sales. However, any further increases could dampen both buyer demand and price growth, particularly in Knoxville, where affordability is stretched.

Key Takeaway for Buyers & Sellers:
Watch interest rates closely—lower rates could mean more competition and firmer prices, while higher rates might extend days on market and open the door to negotiation.

Knoxville Real Estate Forecast Through 2026

Looking ahead, the consensus among local experts is that the Knoxville real estate market will continue to normalize. Expect prices to remain flat or post only modest gains, with some neighborhoods possibly seeing slight declines. The broader East Tennessee market, however, is expected to show more resilience, especially in growth corridors and popular commuter towns.

Tips for Success:

  • Buyers: Expand your search radius to include outlying areas for more options and better deals.
  • Sellers: Be realistic about pricing, and consider offering concessions or updates to attract buyers.
  • Homeowners: If you’re not in a rush to move, waiting for rates to drop could bring more favorable selling conditions.

Final Thoughts: Navigating the East Tennessee & Knoxville Housing Market

Whether you’re buying, selling, or simply monitoring property values, staying informed about local trends is essential in a shifting market. Knoxville is correcting faster than the region, but East Tennessee remains a strong bet for homeowners and investors. Keep an eye on interest rates and be ready to act quickly when the right opportunity arises.

Ready to make your move?
For the latest Knoxville and East Tennessee market updates, tips for home buyers and sellers, and expert real estate advice, subscribe to our newsletter or contact us today!

East Tennessee housing market September 2025
Knoxville housing market September 2025
East Tennessee counties housing market September 2025
Farragut TN housing market September 2025
Lenoir City TN housing market September 2025
Tellico Village housing market September 2025

Where is the Housing Market Going in 2020? [INFOGRAPHIC]

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Where is the Housing Market Headed in 2020? [INFOGRAPHIC] | MyKCM

Some Highlights:

  • Interest rates will be lower than they have been since before 1980 at 3.8% and are projected to remain steady throughout 2020!
  • According to CoreLogic, home prices will appreciate at a rate of 5.4% over the course of the year.
  • Experts predict that the number of homes sold next year will be equal to or outpace 2019.

March Knoxville Area Housing Market Snapshot

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Here’s how the current real estate market is doing through the end of March, all around Knoxville, compared to last year. Remember, real estate is hyper local, meaning your county may show one thing but your specific subdivision or home may be doing something completely different. Contact me for a personal analysis!

Here’s how the current real estate market is doing all around Knoxville. Remember, real estate is hyper local, meaning your county may show one thing but your specific subdivision or home may be doing something completely different. Hit me up for an analysis! <img src="https://farragutliving.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/FEBRUARY-KNOXVILLE-AREA-YTD-HOUSING-SNAPSHOT.jpg" /> Here is what is happening in the West Knoxville/Farragut real estate market. Home sales are down in Farragut compared to the same time last year, median sales price is up slightly, and we’ve seen a nice uptick in the amount of available inventory. This is good if you are looking to buy in Farragut! <img src="https://farragutliving.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/FARRAGUT-HOUSING-SNAPSHOT.jpg" /> The 37922 zip code in West Knoxville saw a nice jump in price, but home sales are down, most likely because of the decline in available inventory. Interested in what your personal home analysis would look like? Call or text me at 865-999-0925! <img src="https://farragutliving.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/37922-FEBRUARY-HOUSING-SNAPSHOT.jpg" />

 

Here is what is happening in the West Knoxville/Farragut real estate market compared to last year. Home sales are down fairly considerably in Farragut, compared to the same time last year. Median sales price is also down, and we’ve seen a small uptick in the amount of available inventory. This is good if you are looking to buy in Farragut!

MARCH FARRAGUT HOUSING SNAPSHOT

 

The 37922 zip code in West Knoxville saw a nice jump in price, but home sales are down, most likely because of the decline in available inventory.

MARCH 37922 ZIPCODE HOUSING SNAPSHOT

Not seeing your particular zip code referenced above? View the stats for your specific zip code by clicking HERE.

Interested in what your personal home analysis would look like? Call or text me at 865-999-0925!

 

Pending Home Sales Rise in Farragut TN, Knoxville and Nationally

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Knoxville-Farragut-TN-Home-SalesThe National Association of REALTORS® just released their latest Pending Homes Sales Index and it showed that homes going into contract in February increased to their highest level since June 2013.

The Pending Home Sales Index is based on pending sales of existing homes and is a great indicator of the current market. A sale is considered pending when a contract has been signed but the transaction has not closed yet. Typically the sale is finalized within 1-2 months of signing.

The report shows the Pending Home Sales Index is now 12% above February 2014. This is the highest level it has achieved since June 2013, and it has increased year-over-year for 6 months straight. The current level is above what is considered “the average level of activity” – for the 10th month in a row.

Pending Home Sales in Farragut TN and Knoxville

Knoxville area pending sales were up 13.5% year to date and the monthly numbers are up 20% compared to March of last year. Pending sales in Farragut are up 8.5% year to date and the March numbers are up 5.9%.  I feel that the Farragut numbers would be higher if we weren’t experiencing a shortage of homes for sale, as active homes for sale in Farragut are down 13.8% year to date, and down 24% for the month of March.  The current Absorption Rate in Farragut (months of inventory) is at only 4.22 months, when a normal amount of inventory is considered 6 months.

Here is a visual showing the National Pending Sales numbers:

Pending-Home-Sales-February 2015

 

What does this mean for you?

If you are considering selling a home in Farragut or Knoxville this is a clear signal that now is the time to put your home on the market. When inventory is low you can expect to sell your home faster and for closer to your asking price (provided it is priced correctly in the first place). If you are considering buying a home in Farragut or Knoxville, expect stiff competition.  This isn’t the market it was a few years ago when you went in and made lowball offers.  Today that will just result in someone else getting the house you love.  It’s important to have a professional to guide you in the process, to help you determine if the home you like is priced correctly and assist you in negotiating a win-win scenario for you and the seller.  If you are either looking to buy or sell a home in Farragut or Knoxville, contact me, Troy Stavros with Gables & Gates, REALTORS at 865-999-0925 via phone or text. I’d love to sit down and discuss your goals, so together we can formulate a plan to help you achieve them.  I’m here to serve you! I look forward to talking soon.

Knoxville Home Sales – Winter Housing Market Update

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businessman hand touch virtual graph,chart, diagramYou may have read some national headlines lately regarding the housing market, but how have Knoxville home sales fared? The National Association of REALTORS® recently released their Existing Home Sales report and like most typical news sources, many headlines are blowing January’s decline in home sales out of proportion to grab attention, without really looking at the numbers.  Headlines such as, “Existing home sales collapse in January despite low mortgage rates”.

Anyone in real estate can share with you the common knowledge that there is a slowdown in the winter months.  Many markets share this seasonality and January is where it often hits. This can be seen by the graph below.  But what the news media doesn’t share is that nationally, existing home sales increased by 200,000.   Knoxville home sales, in January of 2015 saw a 10.1% increase over January of 2014 and Farragut home sales saw a 33.3% increase!  Over the last year, Knoxville also saw the median sales price increase by 11.62%, Farragut saw a 3.32% increase.  A big reason Knoxville home sales are down in January of this year, is that the inventory of homes for sale in Knoxville and Farragut have decreased, Knoxville by 8.7% from January of last year and Farragut down 12.5%. On a month to month basis, inventory in Knoxville has decreased by 7% from December of 2014 with Farragut down 6%.  You might be asking yourself, where has the inventory gone?  Much of it is now under contract, as the number of homes “pending sale” increased from December of 2014 to January of 2015 by 25% in Knoxville and 27% in Farragut!  This screams that buyers are in the market and that equals demand.

Knoxville Home Sales Report

So demand is there, as witnessed by the graphic below showing that buyer demand is actually 3x greater than last year.

Demand of homes for sale in Farragut

The chief economist of the National Association of REALTORS®, Lawrence Yun, mentioned what he feels is the real cause of the January slowdown: “Realtors® are reporting that low rates are attracting potential buyers, but the lack of new and affordable listings is leading some to delay decisions.”

The buyer demand is there, buyers are out looking, but they are having trouble finding their dream home amongst the low inventory.

What does this mean for you?

If your plan was to wait until Spring to sell your home in Knoxville or Farragut, that plan may not help you get the most money for your home with the fastest sale.  The information above points to right now being the optimum time to go to market.   If you have any questions about selling or you would like to sit down and discuss your plans, contact me, Troy Stavros with Gables & Gates, REALTORS® to schedule a time that works best for you.   Interested in finding out how much you could sell your Knoxville or Farragut house for?  CLICK HERE TO FIND OUT.