The Knoxville real estate market continues to shine in the national spotlight, securing a formidable second place in the FHFA’s ranking of the top 100 metros for median appraised value growth of single-family homes in Q2 2023. This impressive 9.1% increase from the previous year not only reflects the area’s robust market dynamics but also significantly surpasses the national median, which saw a slight decline.
In a notable achievement, the Knoxville metro area climbed to the 18th spot in the prestigious Wall Street Journal/Realtor.com Emerging Housing Markets Index for Fall 2023. This index, revered for identifying top-performing markets, underscores Knoxville’s appeal with its low living costs and flourishing economy.
The rental landscape in Knoxville is also evolving. After a remarkable near-20% growth in apartment rents in Q3 2022, the pace has moderated, with a 4.5% year-over-year increase in Q3 2023. This trend is in sharp contrast to the national average, which saw a mere 0.04% increase, highlighting Knoxville’s unique rental market trajectory.
Knox County emerges as a tax haven, boasting one of the lowest effective property tax rates in the U.S. at 0.32% in 2022, as per Attom Data’s analysis. This factor, among others, continues to attract homeowners and investors alike.
Despite the market’s overall vitality, approximately a quarter of homes still sold above asking price, a slight decrease from the previous month. Remarkably, over 10% of these sales were at least $10,000 over the listed price, indicating strong buyer interest and competition.
While 2023 has seen a general slowdown in East Tennessee’s housing market, it hasn’t dampened the region’s growth, especially when compared to cities like Nashville and Memphis, which experienced declines in home values.
However, the Knoxville MSA witnessed a significant 27% drop in purchase appraisals from the previous year in Q2 2023, reflecting the wider impact of increasing mortgage rates and limited inventory on buyer activity.
Looking forward, East Tennessee faces a challenging environment with soaring mortgage rates, now at their highest since the early 2000s. The average monthly payment for a median-priced new listing has surged to $2,400, a 22% increase from last year. Despite this, the tight supply continues to propel home prices upward, even as sales volumes decline.
With mortgage rates hovering around 7.5% and buyer expectations set around 5.5%, the market is at a critical juncture. This disconnect, rooted in decades of historically lower rates, shapes current perceptions of home buying feasibility.
Interestingly, the current mortgage rates, while higher than recent averages, are still below the long-term historical average of 7.7% since 1970. This context is vital for understanding the evolving dynamics of homebuyer attitudes and the enduring appeal of homeownership.
As for today’s mortgage landscape, rates have slightly decreased to 7.40% from over 8% last month. This fluctuation continues to influence buyer decisions and market trends.
In a reassuring sign for the Knoxville area, Auction.com’s analysis predicts a low risk of home price correction. This prediction, based on foreclosure auction data, indicates a significant reduction in foreclosure sales volume compared to 2019 levels.
The Knoxville real estate market, reshaped by the pandemic, has witnessed shifts not just in home prices, but also in inventory, population, and median income, further cementing its position as a dynamic and evolving market.
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Have questions or need guidance buying or selling real estate in the Knoxville TN or anywhere in East Tennessee? Contact Troy Stavros at 865-999-0925 today and let’s start a conversation.