Welcome to the Knoxville Real Estate Report! In this video, we’ll dive into the latest trends and insights shaping the housing market in our beautiful city.
First, let’s talk about apartment rents. Over the past year, Knoxville has seen a remarkable increase of 9.2% in apartment rents, outpacing the national average growth of 2.3%. This means that finding a place to rent in Knoxville has become more competitive, and prices are on the rise.
In June, the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates steady after a string of ten consecutive rate increases. However, officials hinted that future rate hikes may be necessary next month if inflation doesn’t continue to decrease. This decision has implications for the housing market, as higher interest rates can impact the affordability of homes and influence buyer behavior.
Speaking of the housing market, East Tennessee has experienced a notable increase in housing inventory throughout June. However, the number of homes listed for sale remains approximately 60% lower than pre-pandemic levels. This shortage of available homes contributes to the high prices and rents we are currently seeing in the region.
The recently released “The State of the Nation’s Housing 2023” report from the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies confirms that home prices and rents remain high in East Tennessee. With higher interest rates locking homeowners in place and slowing construction, the market faces challenges in meeting the demand for affordable housing.
Home sales in Knoxville saw a boost in May, partly due to a temporary decline in mortgage rates the previous month. Buyers in today’s market are highly sensitive to mortgage rates, and their fluctuations can impact home sales in the coming months. Additionally, the lack of inventory and new listings has intensified competition, especially for homes priced under $400,000.
In summary, while market activity has somewhat normalized, the housing market in Knoxville is still far from ordinary. Higher mortgage rates and historically low inventory levels create a dynamic that is unfamiliar territory for many. Although the situation may seem unsustainable, data suggests that these market conditions are likely here to stay.
Looking at housing inventory, we observed a modest increase over the past month, which is typical for this time of year. Active listings in June were up around 20% compared to the previous year. However, inventory levels remain well below pre-pandemic averages across all counties in the East Tennessee region. Although most counties experienced month-over-month increases in inventory, the growth was relatively subdued compared to historical trends.
Now, let’s talk about mortgage rates. Currently, rates are just over one percentage point higher than they were a year ago, resulting in a 20% increase in the required monthly payment for the median-priced listing. These higher rates have led many homeowners to hold off on selling their homes and moving, contributing to the low inventory we’re seeing in the market. As a result, prospective buyers are increasingly turning to the new-home market.
Looking ahead, the outlook for mortgage rates remains uncertain. Despite the Federal Reserve’s decision to pause rate hikes in June, there is a possibility that rates will resume their upward trend in the near future. With inflation still above the Fed’s target, it’s likely that rate increases will be on the horizon. As a result, mortgage rates are expected to hover around 6.5% throughout the summer months.
In Knoxville, only a small percentage of homes listed for sale have a lower estimated monthly payment compared to a year ago. This indicates that while home price growth has slowed, it remains positive, and lower monthly payments are limited to a few listings at the top end of the market. That wraps up our Knoxville Real Estate Report. Stay tuned for more updates on the local housing market. If you found this information valuable, be sure to like this video and subscribe to our channel for future updates. Thanks for watching!
Have questions? Need a market analysis on a particular part of town or home? Need help buying or selling a home in East Tennessee? Contact Troy Stavros with CornerStone Realty Associates at 865-999-0925 today!